Zambia vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
35.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1998 |
ZAM
2 - 0
GAM
84%
11%
5%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1998 |
MWI
0 - 1
ZAM
19%
25%
56%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1997 |
ZAM
0 - 0
NGA
53%
27%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1997 |
ZAM
2 - 0
NGA
51%
27%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
ZAM
2 - 0
BFA
86%
11%
4%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1998 |
MAR
3 - 0
NIG
89%
9%
2%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1998 |
MAR
2 - 1
ANG
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1997 |
MAR
3 - 0
TOG
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1997 |
BRA
2 - 0
MAR
88%
9%
3%
|
85 | 99 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
MAR
2 - 0
GAB
85%
11%
4%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |