Zambia vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
ZMB
0 - 1
TZA
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
ZMB
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
MWI
1 - 2
ZMB
22%
25%
53%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ZMB
2 - 2
ZWE
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ZMB
0 - 1
MAR
18%
23%
59%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
KEN
0 - 0
CIV
12%
23%
64%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
KEN
1 - 1
BDI
54%
26%
21%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
ZWE
1 - 3
KEN
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MWI
0 - 4
KEN
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
SYC
0 - 5
KEN
9%
19%
71%
|
61 | 29 | 32 | 0 |