Zambia vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
26.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 1988 |
ZAM
4 - 1
MWI
64%
20%
17%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1988 |
MWI
0 - 0
ZAM
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1988 |
MWI
0 - 1
ZAM
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 1988 |
MWI
1 - 0
ZAM
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1988 |
KOR
4 - 0
ZAM
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 1988 |
IRQ
1 - 1
SYR
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1988 |
JOR
0 - 3
IRQ
13%
23%
64%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1988 |
EGY
0 - 0
IRQ
47%
28%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1988 |
IRQ
1 - 0
KSA
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 1988 |
IRQ
0 - 0
LBN
86%
10%
4%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | -1 |