Zambia vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
ZAM
2 - 0
TAN
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
CMR
0 - 2
ZAM
56%
26%
19%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
ZAM
0 - 2
UGA
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
ZAM
3 - 3
NIG
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 0
ZAM
17%
25%
58%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
GUI
3 - 0
NAM
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
GUI
70%
18%
11%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 1
GUI
10%
17%
74%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 0
CHA
84%
12%
5%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CPV
1 - 2
GUI
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |