Zambia vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
TUN
4 - 1
ZAM
69%
19%
13%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
ZIM
1 - 1
ZAM
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
ZAM
4 - 1
COD
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
COD
1 - 1
ZAM
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
LBR
0 - 5
ZAM
18%
24%
58%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
RSA
0 - 2
GUI
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
TOG
0 - 1
GUI
42%
26%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2005 |
GUI
1 - 0
SLE
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
GUI
2 - 2
UZB
35%
26%
40%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
BOT
1 - 2
GUI
26%
27%
47%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |