Zambia vs Guinea-Bisáu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
8.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2015 |
ZAM
0 - 1
MWI
65%
23%
12%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2015 |
ZAM
3 - 0
GHA
33%
29%
38%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
ZAM
0 - 0
NAM
65%
22%
14%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ZAM
2 - 0
MWI
61%
24%
14%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ZAM
2 - 0
RWA
64%
23%
13%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Guinea-Bisáu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
GNB
1 - 1
BOT
28%
26%
47%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
GNB
62%
22%
17%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
GNB
3 - 1
CTA
78%
15%
6%
|
55 | 17 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
CTA
0 - 0
GNB
13%
21%
66%
|
55 | 16 | 39 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
CMR
1 - 0
GNB
90%
8%
2%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | 0 |