Zambia vs Ghana analysis

Zambia Ghana
77 ELO 83
-12.2% Tilt -3.3%
1046º General ELO ranking 424º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
34.8%
Zambia
29%
Draw
36.3%
Ghana

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
Zambia
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.9%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
36.3%
Win probability
Ghana
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zambia
-9%
-5%
Ghana

ELO progression

Zambia
Ghana
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zambia
Zambia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jun. 2012
SDN
Sudan
0 - 3
Zambia
ZAM
32%
25%
43%
77 66 11 0
16 May. 2012
ANG
Angola
0 - 0
Zambia
ZAM
38%
27%
35%
77 74 3 0
12 Feb. 2012
ZAM
Zambia
0 - 0
Ivory Coast
CIV
13%
20%
67%
78 88 10 -1
08 Feb. 2012
ZAM
Zambia
1 - 0
Ghana
GHA
24%
25%
51%
77 85 8 +1
04 Feb. 2012
ZAM
Zambia
3 - 0
Sudan
SDN
60%
23%
17%
76 68 8 +1

Matches

Ghana
Ghana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jun. 2012
GHA
Ghana
7 - 0
Lesotho
LSO
79%
16%
5%
83 48 35 0
29 Feb. 2012
CHI
Chile
1 - 1
Ghana
GHA
76%
16%
8%
84 92 8 -1
11 Feb. 2012
GHA
Ghana
0 - 2
Mali
MLI
58%
23%
18%
84 77 7 0
08 Feb. 2012
ZAM
Zambia
1 - 0
Ghana
GHA
24%
25%
51%
85 77 8 -1
05 Feb. 2012
GHA
Ghana
2 - 1
Tunisia
TUN
35%
27%
38%
84 86 2 +1
X