Zambia vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
47.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ALG
1 - 0
ZAM
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
GHA
4 - 1
ZAM
54%
25%
20%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
ZAM
0 - 2
ALG
49%
28%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
ZAM
1 - 0
RWA
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
EGY
1 - 1
ZAM
76%
16%
9%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
EGY
4 - 0
MUS
97%
3%
1%
|
90 | 47 | 43 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
RWA
0 - 1
EGY
19%
28%
53%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
EGY
3 - 3
GUI
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
EGY
3 - 0
RWA
80%
14%
6%
|
90 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
EGY
0 - 3
USA
32%
25%
44%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |