Zambia vs Ivory Coast analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
66.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ZAM
1 - 0
GHA
24%
25%
51%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ZAM
3 - 0
SDN
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
EQG
0 - 1
ZAM
14%
21%
65%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
LBY
2 - 2
ZAM
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
SEN
1 - 2
ZAM
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
MLI
0 - 1
CIV
14%
21%
66%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CIV
3 - 0
EQG
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2012 |
CIV
2 - 0
ANG
77%
16%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
CIV
2 - 0
BFA
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CIV
1 - 0
SDN
83%
12%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |