Zambia vs Ivory Coast analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1973 |
UGA
2 - 1
ZAM
59%
19%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
UGA
1 - 1
ZAM
60%
19%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1973 |
ZAM
6 - 1
SOM
72%
17%
12%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1972 |
ZAM
3 - 3
CHN
27%
22%
51%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
KEN
1 - 0
ZAM
65%
17%
18%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1972 |
GHA
0 - 1
CIV
69%
17%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
CIV
2 - 6
GHA
36%
23%
41%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 1970 |
CIV
3 - 2
GUI
58%
20%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
GHA
1 - 1
CIV
71%
16%
13%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1970 |
GHA
3 - 0
CIV
70%
16%
14%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |