Zambia vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
35%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ZAM
2 - 0
RSA
26%
28%
46%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
RSA
2 - 2
ZAM
53%
27%
20%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
ZAM
3 - 0
SWZ
65%
23%
13%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
SWZ
0 - 4
ZAM
16%
23%
61%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
ZAM
1 - 3
ZIM
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
LBY
1 - 1
ALG
29%
28%
44%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
ALG
1 - 2
LBY
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
ALG
1 - 0
TOG
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2017 |
ALG
2 - 1
GUI
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2017 |
SEN
2 - 2
ALG
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |