Zambia vs Niger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 0
ZAM
17%
25%
58%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
ZAM
2 - 1
BOT
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
ETH
2 - 3
ZAM
23%
26%
52%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
RSA
1 - 2
ZAM
53%
27%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
KEN
2 - 1
ZAM
20%
26%
54%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
ETH
3 - 0
NIG
42%
25%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
NIG
1 - 0
ETH
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
NIG
1 - 0
SLE
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
NIG
2 - 6
MAD
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CIV
1 - 0
NIG
78%
16%
6%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |