Zambia vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
RSA
2 - 0
ZAM
49%
28%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
ZAM
2 - 2
ZIM
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ZAM
0 - 1
SDN
70%
20%
10%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2018 |
NAM
1 - 1
ZAM
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
CIV
0 - 2
ZAM
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
NAM
2 - 1
LSO
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
NAM
70%
20%
10%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2018 |
NAM
1 - 1
ZAM
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
UGA
0 - 1
NAM
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CIV
0 - 1
NAM
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | +2 |