Zambia vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
UGA
0 - 1
ZAM
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
ZIM
0 - 1
ZAM
28%
27%
45%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ZAM
2 - 0
SDN
65%
23%
12%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
SDN
0 - 1
ZAM
23%
25%
53%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
NAM
0 - 0
ZAM
23%
25%
52%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ZIM
0 - 1
MLI
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
MLI
2 - 2
UGA
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
MLI
2 - 0
BOT
70%
20%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
MLI
19%
24%
58%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MTN
1 - 1
MLI
15%
22%
64%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |