Zambia vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
ZAM
2 - 1
MWI
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
ZAM
3 - 0
SWZ
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
TOG
4 - 1
ZAM
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
ZAM
2 - 0
CGO
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
BOT
0 - 0
ZAM
20%
24%
57%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
ALG
0 - 3
MLI
53%
25%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
MLI
4 - 1
LBR
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
MLI
1 - 2
TOG
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
GUI
2 - 2
MLI
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
TOG
1 - 0
MLI
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |