Zambia vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1994 |
ZAM
1 - 0
SEN
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1994 |
CIV
0 - 1
ZAM
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1994 |
ZAM
0 - 0
SLE
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1994 |
ZAM
2 - 1
ZIM
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1994 |
ZIM
2 - 2
ZAM
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1994 |
EGY
0 - 1
MLI
67%
22%
11%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1994 |
COD
1 - 0
MLI
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1994 |
TUN
0 - 2
MLI
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1994 |
MLI
0 - 0
GHA
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1994 |
SEN
0 - 0
MLI
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |