Zambia vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ZAM
2 - 0
RWA
64%
23%
13%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2015 |
CPV
0 - 0
ZAM
33%
26%
42%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
ZAM
1 - 2
TUN
24%
26%
50%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ZAM
1 - 1
COD
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
RSA
1 - 0
ZAM
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
TAN
1 - 1
MWI
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
ETH
0 - 0
MWI
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
MWI
2 - 0
MLI
23%
25%
53%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
ALG
3 - 0
MWI
74%
18%
8%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MWI
0 - 2
ALG
25%
28%
48%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | -1 |