Zambia vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
ISR
4 - 2
ZAM
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
MLI
1 - 0
ZAM
57%
23%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ZAM
0 - 1
MOZ
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
MOZ
0 - 0
ZAM
16%
23%
62%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
NAM
0 - 1
ZAM
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MWI
1 - 1
LSO
52%
25%
24%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
SWZ
2 - 0
LSO
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
LSO
2 - 1
MUS
73%
19%
8%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
LSO
2 - 1
MWI
34%
29%
37%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
LSO
0 - 0
CIV
10%
21%
69%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | 0 |