Zambia vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1988 |
ZAM
4 - 0
ITA
28%
31%
41%
|
73 | 93 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1988 |
ZAM
2 - 2
IRQ
46%
28%
27%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1988 |
ZAM
4 - 1
MWI
64%
20%
17%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 1988 |
MWI
0 - 0
ZAM
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1988 |
MWI
0 - 1
ZAM
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1988 |
IRQ
3 - 0
GTM
55%
27%
18%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1988 |
ITA
5 - 2
GTM
79%
15%
6%
|
75 | 93 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
TTO
2 - 2
GTM
29%
24%
48%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1988 |
SLV
1 - 2
GTM
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1988 |
SLV
1 - 0
GTM
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |