Zambia vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
BOT
0 - 0
ZAM
20%
24%
57%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
ZAM
4 - 5
ANG
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2004 |
YEM
2 - 2
ZAM
15%
21%
63%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ZIM
4 - 5
ZAM
46%
27%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
CGO
2 - 3
ZAM
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
GAB
0 - 0
CGO
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
CGO
0 - 2
ANG
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
GAB
2 - 1
CGO
44%
26%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2005 |
GAB
1 - 0
CGO
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
CGO
1 - 0
CYM
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |