Yugoslavia vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1964 |
ISR
2 - 0
YUG
34%
24%
43%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
HUN
2 - 1
YUG
78%
13%
9%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1964 |
ROU
3 - 0
YUG
50%
22%
29%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1964 |
JPN
1 - 6
YUG
41%
22%
36%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
YUG
0 - 1
DDR
91%
6%
3%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1964 |
ALG
2 - 2
SUN
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
AUT
1 - 0
SUN
68%
17%
14%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1964 |
DDR
4 - 1
SUN
24%
22%
54%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 1964 |
ESP
2 - 1
SUN
81%
12%
7%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1964 |
DEN
0 - 3
SUN
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |