Yugoslavia vs Turkey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.6%
9.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
AUT
2 - 2
YUG
65%
18%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
PDS
1 - 5
YUG
47%
22%
32%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1954 |
WAL
1 - 3
YUG
40%
23%
38%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 1954 |
BRD
2 - 0
YUG
52%
21%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1954 |
BRA
1 - 1
YUG
67%
17%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1954 |
BRD
7 - 2
TUR
67%
17%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1954 |
TUR
7 - 0
KOR
60%
19%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1954 |
BRD
4 - 1
TUR
67%
17%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1954 |
TUR
2 - 2
ESP
45%
23%
32%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
TUR
1 - 0
ESP
44%
23%
33%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |