Yugoslavia vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
7.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 1960 |
SUN
2 - 1
YUG
50%
21%
29%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1960 |
FRA
4 - 5
YUG
65%
17%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
YUG
5 - 1
POR
82%
11%
7%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1960 |
ENG
3 - 3
YUG
70%
16%
14%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
POR
2 - 1
YUG
36%
23%
41%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
TUN
1 - 5
YUG
37%
23%
40%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
TUN
0 - 0
MLT
62%
18%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |