Yugoslavia vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
18.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1951 |
NOR
2 - 4
YUG
49%
21%
31%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1951 |
YUG
7 - 3
SUI
75%
13%
11%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1951 |
ITA
0 - 0
YUG
79%
12%
9%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1951 |
FRA
2 - 1
YUG
50%
21%
30%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1950 |
ENG
2 - 2
YUG
79%
12%
9%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1951 |
SWE
3 - 2
FIN
91%
6%
3%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1951 |
ISL
4 - 3
SWE
34%
22%
45%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
SWE
0 - 0
ESP
73%
14%
13%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
SWE
3 - 1
TUR
84%
9%
7%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
SUI
4 - 2
SWE
39%
21%
40%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |