Yugoslavia vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
5.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1964 |
CSK
2 - 3
YUG
50%
22%
28%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
YUG
2 - 0
CSK
72%
15%
13%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
ROU
2 - 1
YUG
26%
23%
51%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
YUG
2 - 0
HUN
41%
21%
37%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1963 |
SWE
3 - 2
YUG
59%
20%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1964 |
BGR
0 - 1
ROU
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
ROU
2 - 1
BGR
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1963 |
ROU
2 - 1
DEN
47%
22%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
ROU
2 - 3
DEN
49%
22%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
ROU
2 - 1
YUG
26%
23%
51%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |