Yugoslavia vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
60.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1928 |
AUT
3 - 0
YUG
89%
8%
4%
|
18 | 81 | 63 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1928 |
YUG
2 - 1
BGR
18%
22%
61%
|
16 | 67 | 51 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 1928 |
HUN
2 - 1
YUG
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 78 | 62 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1927 |
CSK
5 - 3
YUG
88%
8%
4%
|
16 | 81 | 65 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1927 |
YUG
1 - 1
CSK
17%
21%
62%
|
16 | 81 | 65 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1928 |
ROU
4 - 2
BGR
64%
19%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1927 |
ROU
3 - 3
POL
54%
21%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1927 |
ROU
0 - 3
YUG
87%
9%
5%
|
71 | 12 | 59 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1926 |
YUG
2 - 3
ROU
17%
22%
61%
|
71 | 12 | 59 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1926 |
TUR
1 - 3
ROU
62%
19%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |