Yugoslavia vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
3.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.5%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.5%
4.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1961 |
YUG
2 - 4
HUN
34%
21%
45%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
HUN
1 - 1
YUG
83%
11%
7%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1960 |
YUG
3 - 1
DEN
85%
9%
6%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1960 |
ITA
1 - 1
YUG
66%
18%
16%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1960 |
YUG
3 - 3
BGR
89%
7%
4%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1961 |
POL
1 - 0
SUN
57%
19%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
HUN
4 - 1
POL
94%
5%
2%
|
69 | 91 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1960 |
POL
2 - 2
FRA
46%
22%
32%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1960 |
ARG
2 - 0
POL
84%
11%
6%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1960 |
DEN
2 - 1
POL
79%
12%
9%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |