Yugoslavia vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
4.3%
5-3
1.5%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
6%
4-3
2.7%
5-4
0.7%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
18.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
3.8%
4-4
1.3%
5-5
0.3%
6-6
<0%
0
17.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
YUG
2 - 1
BGR
70%
14%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1947 |
ALB
2 - 4
YUG
49%
20%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
YUG
2 - 3
HUN
39%
21%
41%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1947 |
ROU
1 - 3
YUG
56%
19%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1947 |
CSK
3 - 1
YUG
76%
14%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1947 |
FIN
1 - 4
POL
39%
20%
41%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1947 |
SWE
5 - 4
POL
85%
9%
6%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1947 |
CSK
6 - 3
POL
74%
14%
12%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 1947 |
POL
1 - 2
ROU
59%
18%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1947 |
NOR
3 - 1
POL
53%
19%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |