Yugoslavia vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 1936 |
TUR
3 - 3
YUG
69%
16%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
ROU
3 - 2
YUG
72%
15%
13%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1935 |
YUG
0 - 0
CSK
39%
22%
39%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1935 |
POL
2 - 3
YUG
76%
14%
11%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 1935 |
BGR
3 - 3
YUG
69%
16%
15%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1936 |
LVA
3 - 3
POL
42%
22%
37%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1936 |
NOR
3 - 2
POL
61%
18%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1936 |
POL
1 - 3
AUT
38%
21%
41%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1936 |
POL
5 - 4
GBR
61%
19%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1936 |
POL
3 - 0
HUN
39%
21%
40%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +2 |