Yugoslavia vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.3%
10.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
AUT
7 - 2
YUG
70%
16%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
DEN
1 - 4
YUG
67%
16%
16%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1950 |
FIN
3 - 2
YUG
35%
21%
43%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1950 |
SWE
1 - 2
YUG
80%
11%
9%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1950 |
BRA
2 - 0
YUG
71%
15%
14%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
NOR
1 - 3
SWE
39%
21%
40%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
NOR
4 - 1
FIN
83%
10%
7%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1950 |
NOR
2 - 2
LUX
79%
12%
9%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1950 |
DEN
4 - 0
NOR
77%
13%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
SWE
3 - 3
NOR
87%
8%
5%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |