Yugoslavia vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.2%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.9%
4.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1964 |
YUG
1 - 2
ROU
85%
10%
5%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
CSK
2 - 3
YUG
50%
22%
28%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
YUG
2 - 0
CSK
72%
15%
13%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
ROU
2 - 1
YUG
26%
23%
51%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
YUG
2 - 0
HUN
41%
21%
37%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1963 |
DEN
1 - 0
LUX
77%
12%
11%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1963 |
DEN
2 - 2
LUX
78%
12%
10%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1963 |
LUX
3 - 3
DEN
33%
20%
47%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1963 |
LUX
2 - 1
NED
48%
19%
34%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1963 |
NED
1 - 1
LUX
73%
14%
13%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |