Yugoslavia vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
5.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
GRC
1 - 2
YUG
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1981 |
YUG
5 - 0
LUX
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 41 | 47 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
YUG
1 - 1
ITA
45%
26%
29%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1981 |
DEN
1 - 2
YUG
35%
26%
39%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1981 |
YUG
5 - 1
GRC
81%
14%
5%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1982 |
WAL
3 - 0
NIR
59%
25%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1982 |
NIR
1 - 1
SCO
35%
29%
36%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
FRA
4 - 0
NIR
72%
19%
9%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1982 |
ENG
4 - 0
NIR
80%
15%
5%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1981 |
NIR
1 - 0
ISR
52%
24%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |