Yugoslavia vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
33.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1954 |
YUG
0 - 2
BEL
77%
13%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
GRC
0 - 1
YUG
38%
23%
39%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
ISR
0 - 1
YUG
42%
22%
36%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
YUG
1 - 0
ISR
81%
11%
8%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
YUG
3 - 1
FRA
75%
13%
11%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1954 |
SCO
2 - 4
ENG
36%
22%
41%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1953 |
ENG
3 - 6
HUN
58%
18%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1953 |
ENG
3 - 1
NIR
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1953 |
ENG
4 - 4
WST
92%
6%
3%
|
88 | 9 | 79 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1953 |
WAL
1 - 4
ENG
28%
21%
51%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |