Yugoslavia vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
40.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1947 |
ROU
1 - 3
YUG
56%
19%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1947 |
CSK
3 - 1
YUG
76%
14%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
BGR
1 - 2
YUG
50%
21%
29%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1946 |
ROU
2 - 1
YUG
56%
20%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1946 |
ALB
2 - 3
YUG
59%
19%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1947 |
ITA
3 - 2
HUN
72%
15%
13%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1947 |
HUN
5 - 2
AUT
62%
17%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1946 |
LUX
2 - 7
HUN
28%
21%
52%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
HUN
2 - 0
AUT
57%
19%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1946 |
AUT
3 - 2
HUN
59%
19%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |