Yugoslavia vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
58%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
BGR
0 - 3
YUG
87%
9%
5%
|
27 | 66 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1930 |
BRA
4 - 1
YUG
86%
9%
5%
|
27 | 77 | 50 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1930 |
ARG
3 - 1
YUG
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 85 | 57 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 1930 |
URU
6 - 1
YUG
83%
11%
6%
|
28 | 83 | 55 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1930 |
YUG
4 - 0
BOL
22%
23%
55%
|
25 | 63 | 38 | +3 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
GRC
6 - 1
BGR
66%
18%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
ROU
8 - 1
GRC
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
GRC
2 - 1
YUG
86%
10%
5%
|
75 | 20 | 55 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1929 |
BGR
1 - 1
GRC
45%
23%
32%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1927 |
GRC
5 - 1
JPN
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |