Yugoslavia vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.3%
11.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1953 |
TUR
2 - 2
YUG
43%
22%
35%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1953 |
YUG
5 - 2
WAL
80%
11%
8%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1953 |
BEL
1 - 3
YUG
49%
21%
31%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1953 |
YUG
1 - 0
GRC
83%
10%
7%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1953 |
EGY
1 - 3
YUG
40%
22%
38%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
IRL
3 - 5
FRA
42%
20%
38%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
LUX
1 - 6
FRA
31%
20%
49%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1953 |
SWE
1 - 0
FRA
81%
11%
8%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1953 |
FRA
6 - 1
WAL
64%
18%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1952 |
FRA
0 - 1
BEL
62%
18%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |