Yugoslavia vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1973 |
GRC
2 - 4
YUG
28%
26%
47%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
YUG
0 - 0
ESP
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
YUG
1 - 1
HUN
42%
25%
33%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
POL
2 - 2
YUG
48%
24%
28%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1973 |
BRD
0 - 1
YUG
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1973 |
GER
2 - 1
ESP
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
YUG
0 - 0
ESP
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1973 |
TUR
0 - 0
ESP
29%
28%
44%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1973 |
NED
3 - 2
ESP
40%
27%
33%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1973 |
ESP
3 - 1
GRC
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |