Yugoslavia vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
50.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1932 |
CSK
2 - 1
YUG
87%
8%
5%
|
42 | 80 | 38 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1932 |
YUG
3 - 1
ROU
25%
21%
55%
|
40 | 75 | 35 | +2 |
| 30 Jun. 1932 |
YUG
2 - 3
BGR
28%
21%
51%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 1932 |
YUG
7 - 1
GRC
25%
22%
53%
|
37 | 72 | 35 | +4 |
| 05 Jun. 1932 |
YUG
2 - 1
FRA
23%
19%
58%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1933 |
FRA
1 - 0
ESP
37%
23%
41%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1933 |
ESP
3 - 0
POR
67%
17%
15%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1932 |
ESP
2 - 1
YUG
83%
11%
6%
|
82 | 36 | 46 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1931 |
IRL
0 - 5
ESP
42%
23%
35%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1931 |
ENG
7 - 1
ESP
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |