Yugoslavia vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1999 |
YUG
4 - 1
MLT
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 52 | 43 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1999 |
MLT
0 - 3
YUG
9%
20%
71%
|
95 | 53 | 42 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1998 |
ISR
2 - 0
YUG
16%
23%
60%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1998 |
YUG
1 - 0
IRL
71%
18%
11%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
BRA
1 - 1
YUG
70%
17%
12%
|
95 | 99 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1999 |
KOR
1 - 1
CRO
50%
24%
26%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1999 |
CRO
2 - 1
MEX
53%
23%
24%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
CRO
2 - 2
EGY
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1999 |
MKD
1 - 1
CRO
19%
23%
58%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1999 |
ESP
3 - 1
CRO
87%
9%
4%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |