Yugoslavia vs Czechoslovakia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
60.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1929 |
FRA
1 - 3
YUG
89%
8%
4%
|
20 | 62 | 42 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1929 |
ROU
2 - 3
YUG
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 73 | 54 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1928 |
CSK
7 - 1
YUG
89%
8%
4%
|
19 | 83 | 64 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1928 |
YUG
1 - 2
POR
18%
22%
60%
|
19 | 76 | 57 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1928 |
AUT
3 - 0
YUG
89%
8%
4%
|
19 | 81 | 62 | 0 |
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1929 |
SUI
1 - 4
CSK
36%
24%
40%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1929 |
CSK
3 - 3
AUT
59%
19%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1929 |
ITA
4 - 2
CSK
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1928 |
CSK
7 - 1
YUG
89%
8%
4%
|
83 | 19 | 64 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1928 |
CSK
3 - 2
POL
72%
15%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |