Yugoslavia vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1966 |
YUG
2 - 0
HUN
35%
23%
42%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1966 |
ENG
2 - 0
YUG
75%
15%
11%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
YUG
1 - 1
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1965 |
FRA
1 - 0
YUG
42%
23%
35%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
LUX
2 - 5
YUG
29%
23%
48%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1966 |
EGY
2 - 2
BGR
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1965 |
BGR
2 - 1
BEL
47%
23%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
ISR
1 - 2
BGR
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1965 |
BEL
5 - 0
BGR
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
BGR
3 - 0
BEL
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |