Yugoslavia vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.5%
Win probability
3.92
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.6%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.7%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.2%
4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1960 |
YUG
4 - 0
TUR
87%
8%
5%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1960 |
YUG
6 - 1
EGY
90%
7%
4%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1960 |
YUG
7 - 0
TUN
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1960 |
SUN
2 - 1
YUG
50%
21%
29%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1960 |
FRA
4 - 5
YUG
65%
17%
17%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1960 |
BGR
2 - 0
EGY
71%
16%
13%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1960 |
BGR
3 - 0
TUR
59%
20%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 1960 |
BGR
2 - 0
DDR
77%
13%
10%
|
71 | 21 | 50 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1960 |
POL
4 - 0
BGR
60%
19%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1960 |
BGR
2 - 0
DDR
77%
13%
10%
|
72 | 21 | 51 | 0 |