Yugoslavia vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.5%
8-4
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
3.2%
6-3
1%
7-4
0.2%
8-5
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
4.8%
5-3
1.7%
6-4
0.4%
7-5
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
5.8%
4-3
2.6%
5-4
0.7%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
17.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
14.2%
15.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1947 |
ALB
2 - 4
YUG
49%
20%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
YUG
2 - 3
HUN
39%
21%
41%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1947 |
ROU
1 - 3
YUG
56%
19%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1947 |
CSK
3 - 1
YUG
76%
14%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
BGR
1 - 2
YUG
50%
21%
29%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1947 |
HUN
9 - 0
BGR
84%
10%
7%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1947 |
BGR
2 - 0
ALB
53%
20%
26%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 1947 |
BGR
2 - 3
ROU
52%
20%
28%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1947 |
BGR
2 - 0
ALB
50%
21%
29%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
BGR
1 - 2
YUG
50%
21%
29%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |