Yugoslavia vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
56.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1931 |
YUG
4 - 1
GRC
20%
22%
58%
|
30 | 74 | 44 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
BGR
0 - 3
YUG
87%
9%
5%
|
27 | 66 | 39 | +3 |
| 10 Aug. 1930 |
BRA
4 - 1
YUG
86%
9%
5%
|
27 | 77 | 50 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1930 |
ARG
3 - 1
YUG
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 85 | 57 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 1930 |
URU
6 - 1
YUG
83%
11%
6%
|
28 | 83 | 55 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
GRC
6 - 1
BGR
66%
18%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
BGR
0 - 3
YUG
87%
9%
5%
|
66 | 27 | 39 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1930 |
BGR
5 - 2
ROU
45%
23%
32%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 1930 |
BGR
2 - 2
YUG
86%
9%
5%
|
64 | 24 | 40 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
YUG
6 - 1
BGR
19%
22%
60%
|
65 | 20 | 45 | -1 |