Yugoslavia vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
59.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
GRC
2 - 1
YUG
86%
10%
5%
|
20 | 75 | 55 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1929 |
CSK
4 - 3
YUG
89%
7%
4%
|
20 | 82 | 62 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1929 |
ROU
2 - 1
YUG
87%
9%
4%
|
20 | 73 | 53 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1929 |
YUG
3 - 3
CSK
18%
22%
61%
|
20 | 82 | 62 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1929 |
FRA
1 - 3
YUG
89%
8%
4%
|
18 | 61 | 43 | +2 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1929 |
BGR
2 - 3
ROU
48%
22%
30%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1929 |
BGR
1 - 1
GRC
45%
23%
32%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1929 |
ROU
3 - 0
BGR
65%
18%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1928 |
ROU
4 - 2
BGR
64%
19%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1928 |
YUG
2 - 1
BGR
18%
22%
61%
|
67 | 16 | 51 | -1 |