Yugoslavia vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
46.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1934 |
ROU
2 - 1
YUG
84%
10%
6%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1934 |
YUG
2 - 3
BGR
36%
22%
42%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
BGR
1 - 2
YUG
79%
12%
9%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1933 |
YUG
2 - 2
SUI
37%
22%
41%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1933 |
POL
4 - 3
YUG
84%
10%
6%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1934 |
ESP
3 - 1
BRA
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1932 |
URU
1 - 2
BRA
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1931 |
BRA
2 - 0
URU
48%
23%
29%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1930 |
BRA
4 - 3
USA
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1930 |
BRA
4 - 1
YUG
86%
9%
5%
|
77 | 27 | 50 | 0 |