Yugoslavia vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.7%
10.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
GRC
0 - 1
YUG
38%
23%
39%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
ISR
0 - 1
YUG
42%
22%
36%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
YUG
1 - 0
ISR
81%
11%
8%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
YUG
3 - 1
FRA
75%
13%
11%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1953 |
TUR
2 - 2
YUG
43%
22%
35%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
BEL
4 - 0
NED
69%
16%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
BEL
0 - 0
POR
64%
16%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
SUI
2 - 2
BEL
56%
19%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
NED
1 - 0
BEL
51%
20%
29%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1953 |
BEL
2 - 0
SWE
45%
21%
34%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |