Yugoslavia vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1986 |
ENG
2 - 0
YUG
63%
21%
16%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1986 |
YUG
4 - 0
TUR
82%
13%
5%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1986 |
BEL
1 - 3
YUG
48%
26%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
BRD
1 - 1
YUG
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1986 |
BRA
4 - 2
YUG
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1986 |
AUT
4 - 1
BRD
28%
27%
46%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1986 |
AUT
3 - 0
ALB
99%
1%
0%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
ROU
4 - 0
AUT
51%
27%
23%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
AUT
1 - 1
SUI
70%
19%
10%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1986 |
AUT
1 - 0
SWE
56%
24%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |