Yugoslavia vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
YUG
4 - 0
BEL
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1969 |
YUG
1 - 3
SUN
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
YUG
1 - 1
ROU
72%
17%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1969 |
FIN
1 - 5
YUG
23%
23%
54%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1969 |
ESP
2 - 1
YUG
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1969 |
AUT
2 - 0
SCO
47%
24%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
AUT
1 - 1
BRD
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1969 |
BRD
1 - 0
AUT
73%
16%
11%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
MLT
1 - 3
AUT
23%
22%
55%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1969 |
ISR
1 - 1
AUT
40%
24%
35%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |