Yugoslavia vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
42%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
HUN
0 - 0
YUG
82%
11%
7%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
YUG
1 - 2
ROU
55%
19%
26%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
GER
1 - 2
YUG
82%
11%
8%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
ROU
3 - 3
YUG
67%
17%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1939 |
YUG
0 - 2
HUN
36%
20%
44%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
GER
7 - 3
BGR
82%
10%
7%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
HUN
2 - 2
GER
59%
19%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1940 |
SVK
0 - 1
GER
42%
22%
37%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1940 |
GER
13 - 0
FIN
86%
9%
5%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1940 |
GER
9 - 3
ROU
77%
13%
10%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |